USD: Tail Risks In The Headlights; What's The Trade? - Credit SuisseDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 21:54:18 +0000
Today’s US presidential inauguration marks an important date for the FX market. In the period between the US election and today’s inauguration, the USD has rallied about 4% against the broad
Could Trump Talk Down The USD Successfully - Morgan StanleyDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 20:13:26 +0000
President Donald Trump has broken with the usual practice of leaving comments on the valuation of the USD to the US Treasury by contradicting the current Treasury's strong-dollar policy.
AUD/USD: Trading Close To Fair Value; Positioning Close To Flat - NABDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 18:40:46 +0000
When AUD/USD was sub-0.72 and falling in the last week of December, there would have been very few (any?) takers for a bet the pair would be back above 0.75 before the second week of January was out. One
USD: A Choppy Week For USD: What's Next? - NomuraDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 17:56:12 +0000
It has been a choppy week for the dollar. Broad USD depreciation ensued following comments from President-elect Trump over the weekend around the dollar being “too strong” and a broad rally in US
USD: Pulling In Opposite Directions: Who To Believe? - BofA MerrillDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 16:14:13 +0000
This week has pulled USD bulls in opposite directions. On the one hand, president-elect Trump leaned against border adjustment taxes and expressed concer
USD/JPY: To Remain Volatile In The Week Ahead; Staying Neutral - BTMUDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 15:25:43 +0000
So far in January, exporters have been covering their real demand, pushing USD/JPY lower. Japanese investors have also been making seasonal cash repatriations, supporting the JPY. These factors could weigh
GBP/USD: Broadly Range-Bound Targeting 1.21 In March - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 14:56:52 +0000
While confirming that they will exit the EU as planned, it was also stressed that a disruptive Brexit cliff-edge shall be avoided and that the final deal will be voted on in parliament. Looking ahead, we believe
EUR/USD, GBP/USD: Targets For A S/T Recovery - SocGenDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 14:26:11 +0000
After a steady down move, the EUR/USD tested projections at 1.0350/1.03 and also tested the lower bound of a multi-month descending channel. Signs of stabilization have emerged as the pair has formed a double bottom at those levels, and a pivotal low may have been achieved at 1.0350/1.03.
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD - UOBDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 05:12:45 +0000
EUR dipped to low of 1.0587 yesterday but rebounded quickly. While the undertone has improved somewhat and a move above the 1.0715/20 high seen earlier this week would not be surprising, the
Preview: Fed Speaks: Harker, WilliamsDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 03:50:14 +0000
Philadelphia Fed President Harker (FOMC non-voter) speaks: Federal Reserve President Harker will speak on the economic outlook.
USD: Beware Of The Impact Of US Treasury Q1 Cash Deluge - DanskeDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 02:37:01 +0000
The Treasury expects to draw down USD290bn from its deposits in Q1, which will add a corresponding amount of USD to the market. This amounts to a 9% increase in the monetary base.
USD: What To Expect In Trump's First 100 Days - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Fri, 20 Jan 2017 01:13:49 +0000
The USD bulls have had a dismal start to 2017 but are hoping that President Trump’s first 100 days in office can revive the dollar rally.
NZD/USD: Targeting A Retest Of The Broken Uptrend Channel - NABDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 22:19:22 +0000
Price is in the process of completing its fourth consecutive up week. This aggressive bounce has negated the downtrend that began in September 2016 at 0.7486 (downtrend break confirmed by the recent close
Jan ECB: Watch ECB Communication For Possible Disagreements Within The GC - BarclaysDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 20:40:08 +0000
As widely expected, January's ECB meeting did not deliver any changes. President Draghi made it very clear that the increase in headline inflation, which is due to continue in the months ahead, is
Jan ECB: Draghi Remains Dovish; QE Purchases To Continue In 2018 - DanskeDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 19:13:13 +0000
The ECB did not deliver any surprises at today's meeting. The main conclusion was that the ECB 'will continue to look through changes in HICP inflation if judged to be transient and to have no implication for the medium-term outlook for price stability'.
Jan ECB: Dovish As Expected - SEBDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 18:21:06 +0000
Having already mapped its monetary policy course for full 2017 at its last meeting in 2016 (8 Dec), the ECB Governing Council did not deliver any further policy adjustments at its first Governing Council meeting today.
BoP Back In Focus: FX Implications - BofA MerrillDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 17:10:46 +0000
As we enter a year where the transition from monetary policy to fiscal policy is likely to become an increasingly important theme for many G10 currencies, we think there is likely to be a growing focus on how this rotation impacts the balance of payments dynamic.
AUD/JPY: Bullish Breakout Targets - Credit SuisseDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 16:12:22 +0000
AUDJPY signalled a bullish trend change in November 2016 on the break of its mediumterm downtrend from 2014.
USD/CAD: Staying Bullish & Long Post-BoC Targeting 1.37 In 2-Month - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 15:02:24 +0000
The BoC policy announcement was broadly in line with expectations. Growth projections for 2016-17 were revised slightly higher but the statement brought back the October assessment that the risks to the outlook
EUR/USD: Now Broadly In Line With S/T Fundamentals; Staying Neutral - BTMUDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 14:21:39 +0000
The EUR/USD rate should continue to be driven by the US dollar leg in the week ahead. The US dollar has been correcting modestly lower early this year lifting the
USD: Dips A Buy In H1; Fade EUR/USD Rallies Into 1.07 Targeting 1.05 - TDDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 13:52:50 +0000
The greenback has given back some of its overnight gains but firmer on the week. A few factors have helped the move.
Trading The ECB: Views From 15 Major BanksDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 05:37:49 +0000
The ECB's Governing Council will meet on Thursday, January 19. In line with the broad market consensus, we expect little action at the meeting, based on the lack of market news since December. Specifically, we
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD - UOBDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 05:03:04 +0000
Instead of extending higher, EUR dropped sharply yesterday from a high of 1.0715. The short-term undertone has shifted from positive to neutral and this pair has likely moved back into a consolidation
EUR/AUD: A Large Bearish Top: Targets For A Breakout - Credit SuisseDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 04:48:14 +0000
EURAUD continues to hold a large bearish top and the spotlight remains on key support at 1.4032 – the 50% retracement of the 2012/15 rise and basing support.
AUD/USD: Upward Correction Targeting 0.7700/20 Against 0.7150/00 - NABDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 02:59:48 +0000
Trend: Price broke down from its broad 2016 triangle in Q4 2016 and challenged the bottom of the nine-month range and our downside target at 0.7150/00 in December. The response to nine-month lows at
Brexit & Sterling: 'Hope For The Best, Position For Lows' - Goldman SachsDate Published: Thu, 19 Jan 2017 01:03:24 +0000
Prime Minister May’s speech painted a rosy future for the UK outside the European Union and at the centre of the global economy, but the near-term implications of the speech look
USD/CAD: Post-BoC Rally To Be Short-Lived: Where To Target? - NomuraDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 22:01:54 +0000
As expected, the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.5%, reiterating that “the current stance of monetary policy remains appropriate”, suggesting a neutral and largely unchanged policy stance.
Draghi To Be Dull; Sell EUR/USD On Any Bullish Reaction - BofA MerrillDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 19:51:42 +0000
We expect Draghi this week to try to avoid any expectations on further policy changes. The dominant theme in Europe recently has been the acceleration in inflation and real economic activity
AUD/NZD: 2 Reasons To Sell Any Rallies Above 1.05 - Deutsche BankDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 18:31:10 +0000
We remain bearish on AUD/NZD. First, New Zealand is enjoying a more fundamentally robust commodity rally, especially in dairy.
EUR: ECB To Strike A Dovish Balance On Thurs; Market Neutral - SEBDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 16:54:02 +0000
Having already mapped its monetary policy course for full 2017 at its last meeting in 2016 (8 Dec), the ECB is most unlikely to deliver any further policy adjustments at the upcoming, first Governing Council meeting in the new year on 19 January.
EUR/USD: No ECB Surprises; Further Upside Into 1.09 A Selling Opportunity - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 15:59:26 +0000
In line with consensus expectations we see limited scope for ECB surprises. If anything, central bank President Draghi should defend a more dovish stance in light of still muted core price
Jan BoC: No Surprise; Nothing For Markets To Chew On - CIBCDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 15:24:23 +0000
To no surprise, there were no surprises from the Bank of Canada today, as politics aside, the world was unfolding as they expected.
GBP: Hard Brexit Fears Peaked N-Term; Scope For Further GBP Gains Vs EUR - BTMUDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 14:56:05 +0000
The pound got caught up in a big position squeeze yesterday which resulted in cable rising sharply by around 3%.
Short EUR/GBP Tactically Here & Re-Sell GBP/USD On Further Bounces - SocGenDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 14:37:19 +0000
There is more caution on the dollar today ahead of Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s speech. This is one of two speeches by Yellen scheduled this week before Trump’s inauguration on Friday.
GBP: A Classic 'Buy The Rumor, Sell The Fact'; Bounces A M-Term Sell - TDDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 14:05:58 +0000
Clarity from Theresa May over the UK’s Brexit stance helped sterling to consolidate. Indeed, the comments showed that the UK has no interest in partial membership. Instead, the comments underscore
Trading The BoC - Views From 10 Major BanksDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 06:03:56 +0000
We expect CAD to outperform other commodity currencies. CAD is not as vulnerable as MXN to trade protectionism given a prior free trade agreement which would take effect if the US backs out of NAFTA
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD - UOBDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 05:23:55 +0000
As noted in recent updates, we expect EUR to remain supported in the short-term as long as 1.0500 is intact. Upward momentum has improved further with the move above last week’s peak of 1.0684 and from
Preview: Fed Speaks: Fed Kashkari, Fed YellenDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 05:10:40 +0000
Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari (FOMC non-voter) speaks: Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Kashkari speaks on the economy.
Preview: US: CPI, IP - Barclays, BofA Merrill, SEBDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 04:46:47 +0000
Preview: US: CPI, IP - Barclays, BofA Merrill, SEB
CAD: BoC On Hold; Staying Long USD/CAD Via Options - BNPPDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 02:34:51 +0000
The market is currently pricing in unchanged policy by the Bank of Canada (BoC) at its meeting on Wednesday.
USDCAD ; GRUDE 15.01.2017
- Published on Sunday, 15 January 2017 12:01
- Written by jssj
Трябва да видим на дневна графика затваряне под 1.3080 или дори 1.3000, за да се надяваме на възобновяване на мечия тренд. Ако това не се случи вероятно върха 1.3600 ще бъде обновен, а цената може да качи до следващата зона за реакция около 1.3700.
Директна корелация с петрола според мен може да се прави, защото разговорите за сега се въртят около това дали цената му ще се качи до 60-65$ където да се включат и шистоваците.След това обаче вероятно ще имаме отново спад.Предполагам,че едно покачване на цената ще се използва от големите спекуланти за акумулиране на къси.
13.08.2016 Как торгуют крупные банки? Результаты
- Published on Saturday, 13 August 2016 19:32
- Written by forex.pf
На нашем информационном ресурсе мы публикуем большое количество рекомендаций и собственных валютных сделок широкого круга банков с мировым именем. Как нам кажется, читателю будет весьма интересно обладать статистической информацией результатов таких рекомендаций и сделок. Мы постараемся ее периодически публиковать, расширяя со временем список банков, по которым будет собрана статистика.
Примечание ProFinance.ru: Никому, кроме собственного торгового деска, доподлинно не известен абсолютно точный открытый портфель банка. Здесь собрана статистика именно по тем сделкам и рекомендациям, которые стали известны нам. Мы оперативно публикуем информацию по открытию/закрытию позиций и передвижению приказов на ограничение прибыли/убытка. Наши наблюдения за рекомендациями банков показывают, что они в превалирующем большинстве зарабатывают в тренде. Коридорная торговля дается им не легко. Более того, банки не столь оперативно управляют открытыми позициями. Нередко, угадав динамику развития валютного курса, банки не передвигают стоп приказ на ограничение убытка, что могло бы существенно улучшить статистические результаты.