USD/JPY: Targeting 116 In 1-Month On Trumponomics, Fed And Reflation - DanskeDate Published: Tue, 21 Feb 2017 05:11:52 +0000
We still expect the JPY to continue suffering in an environment with rising global bond yields and a higher oil price. We expect USD/JPY to increase further in coming months, as investors’ focus could return to ‘US
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD - UOBDate Published: Tue, 21 Feb 2017 04:12:22 +0000
As noted yesterday, the short-term bias is tilted to the downside and a move below the expected 1.0580/1.0750 consolidation range would not be surprising. That said, based on the current momentum,
EUR/USD: A Deja Vu Of 2005-07 But Little Benefit In Long EUR N-Term - Credit SuisseDate Published: Tue, 21 Feb 2017 02:53:37 +0000
For all the talk of discord and chaos on the US political scene, this environment reminds us of the period around 2005-07 when commodities were strong, equity markets lacked volatility while
Preview: EMU: PMI - Barclays, SEBDate Published: Tue, 21 Feb 2017 02:01:46 +0000
Preview: EMU: PMI - Barclays, SEB
GBP: Limited Upside Risk On Balanced Positioning; A Sell On Rallies - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Tue, 21 Feb 2017 00:53:14 +0000
The GBP has been capped as of late mainly on the back of weaker-than-expected inflation and labour data. Elsewhere, relatively stable medium-term inflation expectations, as measured by 5Y inflation swaps,
How Do You Trade 2-Steps Forward And 1-Step Back In FX? - SocGenDate Published: Mon, 20 Feb 2017 17:53:53 +0000
How do you trade two steps forward and one step back in FX? Not by looking for volatility to spike higher on the back of Fed policy, and not by selling commodity-sensitive currencies prematurely.
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD - UOBDate Published: Mon, 20 Feb 2017 05:06:29 +0000
EUR registered an ‘inside day bar’ last Friday but closed near the low of the day. While there is no change to the current neutral view, the weak daily closing suggests that the short-term bias is tilted to the
EUR: 2 Important Themes In Play: Impact On EUR/USD Direction - NomuraDate Published: Mon, 20 Feb 2017 03:22:35 +0000
There are two important themes currently apparent in the euro area: 1) the strong recovery in inflation and in the economy, and 2) political risks ahead of the elections.
USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, AUD, NZD: Weekly Outlook - Morgan StanleyDate Published: Mon, 20 Feb 2017 01:19:11 +0000
US data has continued to come in on the strong side, supporting our argument that the US output gap is closed and inflation should pick up. However, US real yields have remained muted, helping financial
CAD: Are Markets Wearing Rose Colored Glasses? Where To Target USD/CAD? - CIBCDate Published: Sun, 19 Feb 2017 23:54:35 +0000
The Canadian economy’s been looking a bit brighter recently. But are markets too optimistic about a BoC rate hike?
IMM Report: CAD, AUD, NZD Are The Only Currencies Held Net Long Vs USDDate Published: Sun, 19 Feb 2017 23:00:50 +0000
Data in this report cover up to Tuesday Feb 14 & were released Friday Feb 17.
Week Ahead: Risk On But For How Long?; Staying Short EUR/USD - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Sun, 19 Feb 2017 15:40:20 +0000
Recently, global stocks have hit multi-year and (in the case of the US) record highs, while global bond yields and commodity prices remain close to their most elevated levels in years. The positive risk
GBP: Hard Brexit Moving Closer: Time-Line & Targets - DanskeDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 21:48:59 +0000
We still see potential for further GBP weakness in the near term as the triggering of Article 50 moves closer.
CHF: SNB Allowing EUR/CHF To Fall; Looking To Sell As A Political Hedge - Morgan StanleyDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 20:12:05 +0000
We continue to expect the SNB to smooth the downside in EURCHF but only to manage volatility and no longer to manage a level.
GBP: Sterling By Far The Most Undervalued Currency According To L/T Valuation Models - SEBDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 18:27:01 +0000
GBP: By far, Sterling is the most undervalued of G10 currencies, in trade weighted terms standing almost 20% below its long-term fair value (LTFV) and by over 30% against the most expensive currencies (AUD, NZD), which is simply unsustainable.
USD: A Week For 2 Halves: What's Next & How To Trade It? - BofA MerrillDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 16:49:56 +0000
The week was a story of two halves for the USD. A good meeting between Presidents Trump and Abe, strong US data, including higher than expected inflation, and a somewhat hawkish tone by Yellen in
USD/CAD: Neckline Of A Double Top; AUD/USD: Neckline Of An Inverted H&S - SocGenDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 15:46:30 +0000
In a steady down move, the USD/CAD is approaching the neckline of the double top formation at 1.30, also the multiyear ascending channel limit. Monthly RSI is tentatively holding a support trend indicating 1.30 as a key level.
USD/JPY: Lower Bound Confirmed But Topside Remains Heavy: Staying Neutral - BTMUDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 14:53:00 +0000
USD/JPY has crept up to near the 114-level after Fed Chair Yellen’s slightly hawkish comments before retracing lower.
USD: USD 'Conundrum' Is Temporary - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 14:06:53 +0000
US data has been comfortably exceeding expectations, prompting the rates market to consider the possibility of the next hike being delivered as early as March, and a hike by May now looking more likely
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD - UOBDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 04:24:30 +0000
While we indicated yesterday that the pull-back from the 1.0825/30 high two weeks ago is trying to form a base, the rapid rise that easily took out the strong 1.0640 resistance came as a surprise (overnight high of
Preview: UK: Retail Sales - BarclaysDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 03:11:57 +0000
USD/JPY: Weak Demand For Dip-Buying Among Japanese Retail Investors - NomuraDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 02:11:27 +0000
Retail investors’ views on the Japanese equity market have weakened slightly, according to the latest Nomura Individual Investor Survey (6-7 February).
AUD/USD: Expensive, Vulnerable, And Set To Correct Lower - BNPPDate Published: Fri, 17 Feb 2017 00:52:21 +0000
In Australia, January unemployment rate came out slightly below expectations (5.7% vs 5.8% expected), as well as the participation rate (64.6% vs 64.7% expected). We did not see any significant market reaction and AUDUSD is still trading at post-US election highs.
USD: What The Latest Gain In US Inflation Means For Data-Dependent Fed? - Deutsche BankDate Published: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 21:33:01 +0000
The January CPI report showed sturdy gains in both headline and core inflation measures.
AUD/USD: 'Too High Too Soon': Where To Target? - DanskeDate Published: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 18:59:52 +0000
AUD/USD has reversed the move after US elections, which pushed the pair as low as below 0.72 around year end. The lack of details of the US administration’s economic plans has weighed on USD and
USD: Technical Struggle; EUR/USD: Bounce On Hammer & TD Setup - BofA MerrillDate Published: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 17:49:53 +0000
The BBDXY neckline resistance area from 1240-1245 and the old trend line (dashed) has contained USD strength. Seeing the market fade USD strength after retail sales and CPI on Wednesday is not a good
AUDNZD: Pending Bullish Signal On Weekly Close Above 1.0730/1.0772 - NABDate Published: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 16:23:54 +0000
The low of 2015 holds the structure of a LT bottom and as such we have been on alert for confirmation that the correction of the past year is complete. Weekly RSI has produced this confirmation from a MT
USD/JPY: Risk Index Up But Details Less Constructive: Risk Of A Pullback - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 15:27:36 +0000
At -0.95 (vs -0.70 on 9 February 2017) our risk index moved further into risk seeking territory.
EUR/USD: Tech Support Around 1.06 But Downside Risks Build: Staying Bearish Targeting 1.04 - BTMUDate Published: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 14:34:29 +0000
We expect the euro to remain under downward pressure against the US dollar in the week ahead.
Some Tactical Plays In A 'Trendless' FX Market - SocGenDate Published: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 14:00:58 +0000
With that in mind, it would not be surprising if today saw slightly trendless FX markets. As long as USD/JPY holds above 111.50, it looks fine.
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD - UOBDate Published: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 04:30:30 +0000
EUR exceeded the ‘short-term target’ of 1.0530 yesterday with a low of 1.0520. The sharp rebound from the low coupled with oversold conditions suggest that the current pull-back (from the 1.0825/30 high two
Preview: US: Initial Jobless Claims, Housing Starts - BofA Merrill, Barclays, SEBDate Published: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 03:09:54 +0000
Preview: US: Initial Jobless Claims, Housing Starts - BofA Merrill, Barclays, SEB
USD: After Fed Yellen's Testimony: Staying Bearish And Looking To Sell Rallies - NomuraDate Published: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 00:57:37 +0000
Today’s siren song in currency markets is of upcoming Fed hikes, with many investors being lured into bullish dollar positions.
GBP/USD: Choppy Sideways Range; EUR/CAD: Large M/T Top - Credit SuisseDate Published: Wed, 15 Feb 2017 22:08:16 +0000
GBPUSD stays in a choppy sideways range testing the 38.2% retracement of the recent rise and the flat 200-day average at 1.2431/25.
EUR/USD: Targets For A Decline In H1 Before A Rally In H2 - BofA MerrillDate Published: Wed, 15 Feb 2017 19:37:14 +0000
It is all about the USD and about President Trump’s policies for the EUR for now. Indeed, the sell-off of the Trump trades so far this year, following some profit-taking and market concerns for US trade
NZD/USD: Significant Bearish Reversal At Prominent MT/LT Resistance Levels - NABDate Published: Wed, 15 Feb 2017 17:59:08 +0000
Last weeks’ bearish reversal was significant, not only in terms of price action but also the key resistance levels that were rejected.
CHF: SNB To Increase Intervention Again; Where To Target EUR/CHF? - BNPPDate Published: Wed, 15 Feb 2017 16:01:47 +0000
EURCHF fell to a post-Brexit low below 1.07 at the end of January, likely on the back of reports of a large CHF M&A deal. However, the CHF has continued to rise in February, and we think the most important
EUR: Cash Ready To Buy Risk; EUR To Weaken Further - Morgan StanleyDate Published: Wed, 15 Feb 2017 14:59:48 +0000
As the VIX is approaching the lows again,and with iron ore prices bursting 10% higher over recent days, we continue to see risk currencies performing well, particularly vs the EUR.
GBP/USD: A Sell On Bounces Into 1.25 - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Wed, 15 Feb 2017 14:30:36 +0000
In an environment of fairly capped central bank rate expectations, we believe that GBP remains subject to downside risks.
Long AUD/JPY, Short EUR/CAD: Attractive; Breaking From Recent Ranges To Extend - SocGenDate Published: Wed, 15 Feb 2017 14:04:49 +0000
Janet Yellen warned against the perils of the Fed dithering which, in the light of the last few years, is a bit rich. She also pointed out the Fed can’t see much of a relationship between wage growth and CPI inflation
USDCAD ; GRUDE 15.01.2017
- Published on Sunday, 15 January 2017 12:01
- Written by jssj
Трябва да видим на дневна графика затваряне под 1.3080 или дори 1.3000, за да се надяваме на възобновяване на мечия тренд. Ако това не се случи вероятно върха 1.3600 ще бъде обновен, а цената може да качи до следващата зона за реакция около 1.3700.
Директна корелация с петрола според мен може да се прави, защото разговорите за сега се въртят около това дали цената му ще се качи до 60-65$ където да се включат и шистоваците.След това обаче вероятно ще имаме отново спад.Предполагам,че едно покачване на цената ще се използва от големите спекуланти за акумулиране на къси.